PROBABILITY OF AIRCRAFT CRASH ON A NPP LOCATED IN THE VICINITY OF A FLIGHT LINE

Authors:  
Rubric:     Theoretical and experimental studies   
Annotation:
The paper concerns the problems of determining the probability of an aircraft crash on a nuclear power plant (NPP), located in the vicinity of the flight line. In this case only one preferred direction from which the aircraft approach to NPP is considered. Probability distribution of the aircraft angle of arrival due to aircraft accident statistics and probability of flight line deviation angle are used. The probability distribution law of impacts was determined for various angles between the flight line and the structure normal. Probability of impact to building structures of various shapes (typical for NPPs) was calculated. Example of calculating the probability of an aircraft crash on NPP located in the vicinity of the flight line is given.