Latest issuePROBABILISTIC ESTIMATION OF RELIABILITY VALUES FOR BRICK BUILDINGS
DOI: 10.37153/2618-9283-2020-4-8-25
Authors:
Ph.D.in Engineering Science, Director of the Center for Scientific Research of the Construction Industry, Corresponding Member of the NIA of Kazakhstan and IEA, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan
Vladimir A. Lapin
Head of the Department of Analysis of the Consequences of Severe Earthquakes, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan
Serik D. Aldakhov
Yerkin S. Aldakhov
Director of Seismic Resistance and Survey Center, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan
Engineer, KazRDICA JSC, Almaty, Republic of Kazakhstan
Alimzhan B.Ali
Rubric: Monitoring and certification of seismic constructions
Key words: certification, risk, brick building, losses, reliability, repeatability
Annotation:
In 2017-2018, for the first time in the city of Almaty, a complete certification of the housing stock of apartment buildings was carried out. 1607 multi-storey brick buildings 2-4 floors high were identified. Based on the results of certification, quantitative estimates of the probability of failure and reliability for brick buildings were first obtained. The frequency of earthquakes is taken into account. A priori probabilities of brick buildings failure were calculated by statistical modeling using experimental data obtained during the recording of explosions in MEDEO. The results of reliability and failure estimates will be used for practical recommendations to reduce risk and expected losses in possible earthquakes.
Used Books:1. Safargaliev S.M. Seismostoikost' zdanii iz industrial'nykh kirpichnykh
izdelii. Аlmaty: Nauka, 1988, 184 p. [In Russian]
2. Polyakov S.V., Safargaliev S.F. Monolitnost' kamennoi kladki. Аlmaty: Gylym, 1991,160 p. [In Russian]
3. Safargaliev S.M. Seismostoikie kamennye konstruktsii. Аlmaty: Аna tili,1992, 236 p. [In Russian]
4. Lapin V.А., Erzhanov S.E. Problemy opredeleniya seismicheskogo riska dlya naselennykh punktov Respubliki Kazakhstan. Vestnik АO KazNIISА. 2016, vyp.7, pp. 20-24. [In Russian]
5. Lapin V.А., Erzhanov S.E. Аlgoritmy opredeleniya seismicheskogo riska dlya zdanii i sooruzhenii v Respublike Kazakhstan. Seismostoikoe stroitel'stvo. Bezopasnost' sooruzhenii. 2017, no. 3, pp.31-39. [In Russian]
6. Аldakhov E.S. Sposoby otsenki seismicheskogo riska primenitel'no k megapolisu goroda Аlmaty. Vestnik АO KazNIISА. 2019, vyp.7, (95), pp.35-46. [In Russian]
7. Tuleev T.D., Аldakhov S.D., Аldakhov E.S., Bitimbaev А.T., Аli А.B., Tazhikenov А.B., Lobodryga T.D. Pasportizatsiya ob"ektov nedvizhimosti goroda Аlmaty. Vestnik АO KazNIISА. 2018, vyp.2 (78), pp.6-10. [In Russian]
8. Shokbarov E.M. Pasportizatsiya zdanii i sooruzhenii goroda Аlmaty. Vestnik АO KАZNIISА. 2020, vyp.1 (1-3), pp.93-96. [In Russian]
9. Zhunusov T.Zh. Kolebaniya zdanii pri moshhnykh vzryvakh v Medeo.V sb. «Kolebaniya zdanii pri vzryvakh i zemletryaseniyakh». Аlmaty: Izdatel'stvo «Kazakhstan».1972, pp.3-122. [In Russian]
10. Khakimov Sh.А. Nekotorye voprosy otsenki seismicheskogo riska i antiseismicheskogo usileniya zdanii. Issledovanie seismostoikosti sooruzhenii i konstruktsii. 2001, vyp.20 (30), pp.167-184. [In Russian]
11. Rajzer V.D. Teoriya nadezhnosti sooruzhenii. M.: Izdatel'stvo «АSV». 2010, 384 p. [In Russian]
12. Seismicheskii risk i inzhenernye resheniya. Sb. Statei. Pod red. Lomnitts U., Rozenblyut Eh. M.: Nauka. 1981. 86 p. [In Russian]
13. Dzhinchvelashvili G.А., Dzerzhinskii R.I., Denisenkova N.N. Kolichestvennye otsenki seismicheskogo riska i ehnergeticheskie kontseptsii seismostoikogo stroitel'stva. Komp'yuternye issledovaniya i modelirovanie. 2018, t.10, no.1, pp. 61-76. [In Russian]
14. Eizenberg Ya.M. Аdaptivnye sistemy seismicheskoi zashhity sooruzhenii. M.: Nauka. 1978. 247 p. [In Russian]
15. Eizenberg Ya.M. Modeli seismicheskogo riska i metodologicheskie problemy planirovaniya meropriyatii po smyagcheniyu seismicheskikh bedstvii. Seismostoikoe stroitel'stvo. Bezopasnost' sooruzhenii. 2004, no.6, pp.31-37. [In Russian]
16. Koff G.L., Gusev А.А., Vorob'ev YU.L., Koz'menko S.N. Otsenka posledstvii chrezvychainykh situatsii. M.: IPK REHFIА.1998.364 p. [In Russian]
17. Tsipenyuk I.F. Otsenka nadezhnosti i uchet povtoryaemosti zemletryasenii pri raschetakh krupnopanel'nykh zdanii na sejsmicheskie vozdejstviya. V sb. «Razvitie metodov rascheta na seismostoikost'». TSNIISK im. V.А. Kucherenko. 1987, pp.138-152. [In Russian]
18. Napetvaridze Sh.G. Veroyatnostnye zadachi inzhenernoi seismologii i teorii seismostoikosti. Tbilisi: Izdatel'stvo «Metsniereba».1985.110 p. [In Russian]
19. Lapin V.А. Sposob rascheta nadezhnosti nelineinoi sistemy pri seismicheskom vozdeistvii. Seismostoikoe stroitel'stvo. Bezopasnost' sooruzhenii.1998, no.5, pp.11-13. [In Russian]
20. Liu Xiao-Xiao, Wang Yuan-Sheng A New Formulation on Seismic Risk Assessment for Reinforced Concrete Structures with Both Random and Bounded Uncertainties. Discrete dynamiks in Nature&Society, 11(1)2018, p.1-15. DOI:10.1155/2018/5027958 [In English]
21. Fathi-Fazi Reza, Jacques Eric, Cai Zhen, Kadhom Bessam Development of a preliminary seismic risks creening tool for existing building in Canada. Canadian Journal of Civil Engineering, 2018, vol.45, Issue 9, pp.717-727. DOI:10.1139/cjce-2017-0504 [In English]
22. Bunea Geordina, Doniga Cornel, Atanasiu Gabriela M. Study Concerning the Level of Seismic Risk in lasi Manicipality. Advanced Engineering Forum. 2017, Vol.21, pp.86-93. DOI 10.4028/www.scientific.net/AEF.21.86 [In English]
23. Ahmad Naveed, Ali Qaisar, Adil Muhammad, Khan Akhtar Naeem Developing Seismic Risk Prediction Functions for Structures. Shock&Vibration. 4/29/2018, pp.1-22. DOI:10.1155/2018/4186015 [In English]
24. Hare H. John. A different way of thinking about seismic risk: a call for debate. Bulletin of the New Zealand Society for Earthquake Engineering, Sep2019, Vol.52 Issue 3, pp.141-149. DOI:10.5459/BNZSEE.52.3.141-149 [In English]
25. Erzhanov S.E., Lapin V.А. Sistemy seismoizolyatsii zdanii i sooruzhenii v Respublike Kazakhstan i razvitykh stran mira. Issledovaniya seismostoikosti konstruktsii. 2015, vyp. 23(33), pp.193-208. [In Russian]
26. Lapin V. A., Yerzhanov S. E., Aldakhov Y. S. Statistical modeling of a seismic isolation object under random seismic exposure Journal of Physics: Conference Series 1425 012006 doi:10/1088/1742-6596/1425/1/012006
[In English]
27. Dyrda V., Kobets A., Bulat I., Lapin V., Lysytsia N., Ahaltsov H., Sokol S. Vibroseismic protection of heavy mining machines, buildings and structures. E3S Web of Conferences, 109, 00022. http://doi.org/10.1051/e3sconf/201910900022 [In English]
28. Bulat A. F., Dyrda V. I., Lysytsya M. I., Grebenyuk S. M. Numerical Simulation of the Stress-Strain State of Thin-Layer Rubber-Metal Vibration Absorber Elements Under Nonlinear Deformation. Strength of Materials, 50(3), 387–395. http://doi.org/10.1007/s11223-018-9982-9 [In English]