Latest issueProbability of Accidental and Intentional Aircraft Fall on NPP Safety Related Structures
Authors:
Birbraer Adolf N.
Candidate of Science (Phd), Associate prof.
Vladimir V. Lalin
doctor of technical sciences, professor of the Higher school of industrial, civil and road construction, Institute of civil engineering, Peter the Great
Chernukha N.
инженер-проектировщик
Rubric: Theoretical and experimental studies
Annotation:
The article is devoted to determination of probability of aircraft fall on nuclear power plant (NPP). Probability distribution of aircraft trajectory angle based on aircraft accidents statistics is used. Equiprobable aircraft approach from any direction is supposed. Probability distribution of impact to a building structure under an arbitrary angle to its normal was determined. Probability of impact to building structures of various shapes (typical for NPPs) was calculated. An example of calculation of the aircraft fall probability on NPP is given. The procedure for determination of the impact probability to building structures at intentional aircraft crash (act of terrorism) was assumed.